The Bills are a massive 10-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to run on 47.5% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip among all teams this week.
The model projects James Cook to accumulate 14.6 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Cons
The model projects the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league last year at blocking for the run game.