Week 18 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tucker Kraft

Tucker KraftReceiving Yards

Right now, Tucker Kraft’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 28.5 (-110) after it opened @ 27.5 (-110).

Pros

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Packers to pass on 58.9% of their downs: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Tucker Kraft checks in as one of the best pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging an excellent 37.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
With an outstanding 9.2 adjusted yards per target (92nd percentile) this year, Tucker Kraft rates as one of the top pass-catching TEs in the league.
Tucker Kraft checks in as one of the best TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 7.61 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Cons

With a 3-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this week’s contest, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 126.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.9 plays per game.
This year, the daunting Bears defense has yielded the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.1 yards.
The Bears pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.19 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
24
Receiving Yards