NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Chris OlaveReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 18
Saints vs. Falcons
Right now, Chris Olave’s receiving yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-120/-109).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (-109) after it opened @ 72.5 (-114).
Pros
- Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.1 plays per game.
- The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
- In this week’s contest, Chris Olave is projected by the predictive model to rank in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.1 targets.
Cons
- A running game script is suggested by the Saints being a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
- With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Chris Olave ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the league in the league in the open field.
- This year, the tough Falcons defense has yielded a measly 126.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 4th-best in the NFL.
- This year, the tough Falcons defense has given up the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a measly 7.4 yards.
Projection
THE BLITZ
86
Receiving Yards
86
Receiving Yards
