NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tommy TrembleReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Jaguars vs. Panthers
Right now, Tommy Tremble’s receiving yards prop is set at 14.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 14.5 (-110) after it opened @ 14.5 (-102).
Pros
- This game’s line implies an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are huge -7-point underdogs.
- The Panthers have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.7 plays per game.
- The Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (37.7 per game) this year.
- Tommy Tremble’s 75.6% Adjusted Completion% this season shows a remarkable improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 62.0% mark.
- Tommy Tremble’s 4.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a meaningful improvement in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season’s 3.1% rate.
Cons
- The model projects the Panthers to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to call the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Tommy Tremble’s 35.6% Route Participation% this season illustrates a significant decrease in his pass game workload over last season’s 47.7% rate.
- When it comes to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards
22
Receiving Yards
