NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Calvin RidleyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Jaguars vs. Panthers
Right now, Calvin Ridley’s receiving yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Jacksonville Jaguars will be forced to use backup QB C.J. Beathard in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
- With a 65.5% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the league has been the Jacksonville Jaguars.
- Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 10th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.82 seconds per snap.
- With an elite 92.9% Route% (91st percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley places among the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
- In this week’s game, Calvin Ridley is expected by the predictive model to place in the 91st percentile among wideouts with 8.6 targets.
Cons
- The Jaguars are a giant 7-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
- Opposing teams have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
- With a feeble 58.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (19th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley rates among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.
- Calvin Ridley checks in as one of the worst wide receivers in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 18th percentile.
- The Panthers defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 117.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards
59
Receiving Yards
