Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for James Conner from EV Insight

James ConnerRushing Yards

Right now, James Conner’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-105/-125).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect James Conner to notch 14.2 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Among all RBs, James Conner ranks in the 90th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 55.6% of the workload in his team’s run game.
With a fantastic rate of 70.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (96th percentile), James Conner ranks among the best RBs in the NFL this year.
With a remarkable record of 4.94 adjusted yards per carry (90th percentile), James Conner places among the top running backs in football this year.
With an excellent record of 3.77 yards after contact (100th percentile), James Conner has been among the unyielding RBs in the league this year.

Cons

At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are big underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a reliance on throwing than their standard approach.
The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 11th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Cardinals to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the ramifications it has on all ground game metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 5th-worst in the league last year.
This year, the imposing Philadelphia Eagles run defense has conceded a mere 92.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Rushing Yards