Pros
- Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 60.9% of their plays: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
- In this week’s contest, Rashee Rice is forecasted by the model to place in the 92nd percentile among wideouts with 8.8 targets.
- The predictive model expects Rashee Rice to be a much bigger part of his offense’s passing game in this week’s game (25.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (17.8% in games he has played).
- With an exceptional 62.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (84th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice rates among the best WRs in the league in the NFL.
- This year, the weak Bengals defense has been torched for a massive 183.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-worst in football.
Cons
- The Chiefs are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run just 63.5 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
Projection
THE BLITZ
85
Receiving Yards