NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Baker MayfieldPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 17
Buccaneers vs. Saints
Right now, Baker Mayfield’s passing yards prop is set at 236.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 236.5 (-110) after it opened @ 228.5 (-114).
Pros
- The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.4 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
- Baker Mayfield has passed for many more adjusted yards per game (234.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
- Baker Mayfield’s passing efficiency has gotten a boost this year, totaling 6.99 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 5.89 rate last year.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers as the 11th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 6th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 204.0 adjusted yards per game) against the New Orleans Saints defense this year.
- This year, the daunting New Orleans Saints defense has surrendered a mere 63.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.
- The Saints linebackers project as the 5th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards
229
Passing Yards
