NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Wan’Dale RobinsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Eagles vs. Giants
Right now, Wan’Dale Robinson’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- This week’s spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Giants, who are huge -14-point underdogs.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to pass on 60.7% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate on the slate this week.
- The Eagles defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the NFL (41.1 per game) this year.
- Wan’Dale Robinson’s possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 77.9% to 83.3%.
- This year, the weak Eagles defense has conceded a massive 190.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the worst in the NFL.
Cons
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Giants are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
- After accumulating 30.0 air yards per game last year, Wan’Dale Robinson has regressed heavily this year, now averaging 20.0 per game.
- The New York Giants O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
- Wan’Dale Robinson checks in as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the league, averaging just 7.23 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers
- Wan’Dale Robinson profiles as one of the weakest wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.
Projection
THE BLITZ
40
Receiving Yards
40
Receiving Yards
