NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Adam ThielenReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Panthers vs. Packers
Right now, Adam Thielen’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 47.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
- The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.2 per game on average).
- The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- In this contest, Adam Thielen is expected by the projections to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.2 targets.
- Adam Thielen’s 67.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a material improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year’s 47.0 rate.
Cons
- Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
- The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 33.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
- When it comes to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year.
- The Green Bay Packers defensive ends rank as the 5th-best DE corps in the league this year with their pass rush.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards
62
Receiving Yards
