Week 16 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Tony Pollard from EV Insight

Tony PollardRushing Yards

Right now, Tony Pollard’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by the projection model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
In this contest, Tony Pollard is expected by the projections to land in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.1 carries.
Tony Pollard has been much more involved in his team’s running game this year (61.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (41.6%).
With an excellent record of 63.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (91st percentile), Tony Pollard rates as one of the top running backs in football this year.

Cons

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to run on 38.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 4th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 91.0 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
The Dolphins safeties grade out as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
67
Rushing Yards