NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tyler HigbeeReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Rams vs. Saints
Right now, Tyler Higbee’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the OVER up to 22.5 (-115) after it opened @ 22.5 (-115).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
- The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Rams this year (a whopping 60.6 per game on average).
- Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.
- Tyler Higbee’s 80.4% Route Participation% this year signifies a noteworthy growth in his pass game usage over last year’s 69.7% figure.
- In this week’s game, Tyler Higbee is expected by the model to position himself in the 79th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets.
Cons
- This week’s spread indicates a rushing game script for the Rams, who are favored by 4.5 points.
- Tyler Higbee’s 29.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season signifies a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season’s 38.0 figure.
- With a lackluster 65.7% Adjusted Catch Rate (13th percentile) this year, Tyler Higbee ranks among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.
- This year, the stout Saints defense has conceded a feeble 69.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 5th-best rate in the NFL.
- When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New Orleans’s unit has been excellent this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards
30
Receiving Yards
