Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jahmyr Gibbs from EV Insight

Jahmyr GibbsRushing Yards

Right now, Jahmyr Gibbs’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-115/-105).

The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-115) after it opened @ 45.5 (-115).

Pros

This week’s line suggests a running game script for the Lions, who are favored by 4.5 points.
At the moment, the 7th-most run-focused team in the league (41.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Lions.
The Detroit Lions have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.
Jahmyr Gibbs has averaged 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (90th percentile).
The opposing side have run for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (149 per game) against the Broncos defense this year.

Cons

The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
49
Rushing Yards