Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jahmyr GibbsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Lions vs. Broncos
Right now, Jahmyr Gibbs’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-115/-105).
The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-115) after it opened @ 45.5 (-115).
Pros
- This week’s line suggests a running game script for the Lions, who are favored by 4.5 points.
- At the moment, the 7th-most run-focused team in the league (41.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Lions.
- The Detroit Lions have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.6 plays per game.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has averaged 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (90th percentile).
- The opposing side have run for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (149 per game) against the Broncos defense this year.
Cons
- The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
49
Rushing Yards
49
Rushing Yards
