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Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jahmyr Gibbs from EV Insight

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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr GibbsRushing Yards

Player Props – Week 14

Bears vs. Lions

Right now, Jahmyr Gibbs’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (+102/-132).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 39.5 (-132) after it opened @ 39.5 (-118).

Pros

  • With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions as the 9th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.8% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The 6th-most plays in the league have been called by the Lions this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).
  • Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 78th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 40.7% of the workload in his team’s running game.
  • With a fantastic total of 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (87th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs places among the top pure runners in the league this year.
Cons

  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 62.4 total plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • This year, the tough Chicago Bears run defense has conceded a feeble 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 2nd-best in football.
  • When it comes to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, Chicago’s unit has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.

Projection
THE BLITZ
46
Rushing Yards

Previous Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for D.J. Moore from EV Insight Next Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jalen Hurts from EV Insight