NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
David MontgomeryRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Bears vs. Lions
Right now, David Montgomery’s rushing yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (+100/-130).
Pros
- With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
- At the moment, the 9th-most run-centric team in football (41.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Detroit Lions.
- The 6th-most plays in the league have been called by the Lions this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).
- The predictive model expects David Montgomery to earn 13.5 carries in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
- David Montgomery’s 84.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a significant gain in his running talent over last season’s 48.0 rate.
Cons
- Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 61.6 total plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
- This year, the tough Chicago Bears run defense has conceded a feeble 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 2nd-best in football.
- When it comes to the linebackers’ role in stopping the run, Chicago’s unit has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 6th-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
58
Rushing Yards
58
Rushing Yards
