Week 13 Player Props: Rushing Yards for D'Andre Swift from EV Insight

D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards

Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-120/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 53.5 (-120) after it opened @ 50.5 (-120).

Pros

The 7th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).
After comprising 25.3% of his offense’s rushing play calls last year, D’Andre Swift has been more involved in the ground game this year, currently comprising 48.8%.
When talking about run support (and the significance it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL last year.
D’Andre Swift has rushed for a lot more adjusted yards per game (68.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).

Cons

The Eagles are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 8th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 41.6% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
This year, the formidable 49ers run defense has given up a meager 79.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
54
Rushing Yards