Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Eagles vs. 49ers
Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 73.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- This week’s line indicates a running game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 3 points.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to run on 43.9% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
- Our trusted projections expect Christian McCaffrey to accrue 17.2 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
- The San Francisco offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.
- Christian McCaffrey has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (93.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).
Cons
- The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the 49ers this year (a mere 53.9 per game on average).
- Christian McCaffrey has been a more important option in his team’s offense this year, staying on the field for 81.9% of snaps compared to just 71.5% last year.
- This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles run defense has given up a puny 83.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
81
Rushing Yards
81
Rushing Yards
