Week 12 Player Props: Passing Yards for Joshua Dobbs from EV Insight

Joshua DobbsPassing Yards

Right now, Joshua Dobbs’s passing yards prop is set at 232.5 yards (+100/-137).

The public has bet the OVER up to 232.5 (+100) after it opened @ 231.5 (-117).

Pros

The Minnesota Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be forced to use backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Vikings to pass on 61.6% of their downs: the 7th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
The leading projections forecast Joshua Dobbs to attempt 37.2 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.
The Bears defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year.

Cons

A rushing game script is implied by the Vikings being a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
With an atrocious rate of 145.0 adjusted passing yards per game (13th percentile), Joshua Dobbs rates among the weakest QBs in football this year.
With a weak 6.00 adjusted yards-per-target (9th percentile) this year, Joshua Dobbs has been among the least efficient QBs in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
248
Passing Yards