Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Rashee RiceReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 11
Chiefs vs. Eagles
Right now, Rashee Rice’s receiving yards prop is set at 42.5 yards (-163/+118).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 42.5 (+118) after it opened @ 43.5 (-117).
Pros
- Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
- Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 41.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
- With a fantastic 80.5% Adjusted Catch% (99th percentile) this year, Rashee Rice has been as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among WRs.
- Rashee Rice ranks as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL, averaging an exceptional 10.70 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 90th percentile among WRs.
Cons
- The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
- The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 2.87 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
41
Receiving Yards
41
Receiving Yards
