Week 11 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rachaad White from EV Insight

Rachaad WhiteRushing Yards

Right now, Rachaad White’s rushing yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-110/-118).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-118) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).

Pros

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 5.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
The predictive model expects Rachaad White to notch 14.5 rush attempts in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.
After making up 33.7% of his offense’s rush attempts last season, Rachaad White has had a larger role in the ground game this season, now comprising 58.2%.
Rachaad White’s 48.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a significant growth in his running skills over last season’s 30.0 figure.

Cons

At a -13.5-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are heavy underdogs in this week’s contest, implying much more of a reliance on passing than their typical game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to be the 2nd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 37.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Buccaneers to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.0 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football last year at run-game blocking.
This year, the strong San Francisco 49ers run defense has yielded a mere 80.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 4th-fewest in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
60
Rushing Yards