Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Kenneth Walker III from EV Insight

Kenneth Walker IIIRushing Yards

Right now, Kenneth Walker III’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-125/-104).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 59.5 (-104) after it opened @ 63.5 (-113).

Pros

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see 130.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect Kenneth Walker to garner 17.4 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.
Kenneth Walker has earned 70.3% of his offense’s rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Kenneth Walker has grinded out 66.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (91st percentile).

Cons

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 8th-least run-focused team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 37.1% run rate.
The 5th-fewest plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (a mere 53.8 per game on average).
The Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
83
Rushing Yards