Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Sam HowellPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Seahawks vs. Commanders
Right now, Sam Howell’s passing yards prop is set at 261.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 261.5 (-110) after it opened @ 265.5 (-114).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Washington Commanders offensive approach to lean 14.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays.
- This week’s spread suggests a passing game script for the Commanders, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
- The model projects the Commanders as the most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
- Sam Howell checks in as one of the leading QBs in the league this year, averaging an impressive 278.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.
Cons
- As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Seattle’s collection of CBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
238
Passing Yards
238
Passing Yards
