Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Cowboys vs. Giants
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 61.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- To the extent of a defense’s influence on pace, at 27.58 seconds per play, the projections expect the New York Giants as the 8th-fastest in the league (in a neutral context) right now.
- In this week’s game, Saquon Barkley is expected by the projections to slot into the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.0 rush attempts.
- Among all RBs, Saquon Barkley grades out in the 96th percentile for carries this year, taking on 65.6% of the workload in his team’s rushing attack.
- With an impressive rate of 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (97th percentile), Saquon Barkley stands among the top pure rushers in the NFL this year.
Cons
- An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the Giants being a massive -17.5-point underdog in this week’s contest.
- Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Giants to run on 39.6% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
- The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
- In regards to run support (and the influence it has on all ground game stats), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year.
- As it relates to the defensive ends’ role in stopping the run, Dallas’s DE corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
77
Rushing Yards
77
Rushing Yards
