NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jordan LovePassing Yards
Player Props – Week 10
Steelers vs. Packers
Right now, Jordan Love’s passing yards prop is set at 216.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 216.5 (-110) after it opened @ 220.5 (-114).
Pros
- This week’s line suggests a passing game script for the Packers, who are -3-point underdogs.
- When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 10th-best in football this year.
- This year, the feeble Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded the 7th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing squads: a whopping 5.64 YAC.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Packers to be the 9th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per snap.
- Jordan Love ranks as one of the least on-target quarterbacks in the league this year with a 60.4% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 6th percentile.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest rate in the NFL vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (63.9% Adjusted Completion%).
- When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh’s unit has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
223
Passing Yards
223
Passing Yards
