Week 10 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Chuba Hubbard from EV Insight

Chuba HubbardRushing Yards

Right now, Chuba Hubbard’s rushing yards prop is set at 40.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 40.5 (-131) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).

Pros

The Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 63.8 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Chuba Hubbard to accumulate 16.4 rush attempts in this week’s game, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
While Chuba Hubbard has garnered 42.8% of his offense’s run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Carolina’s ground game in this contest at 59.6%.
The Carolina O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football last year in run-blocking.
Chuba Hubbard ranks as one of the best RBs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.11 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive approach to tilt 6.5% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
A throwing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3-point underdog in this week’s contest.
The leading projections forecast the Panthers to call the 8th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears defense owns the best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 3.49 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

Projection

THE BLITZ
71
Rushing Yards