Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kareem HuntRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 9
Browns vs. Cardinals
Right now, Kareem Hunt’s rushing yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- This game’s spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Browns, who are heavily favored by 13.5 points.
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to run on 51.6% of their plays: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
- The Browns have run the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 66.1 plays per game.
- Kareem Hunt’s 28.4% Snap% this year illustrates a significant regression in his offensive utilization over last year’s 40.1% rate.
- Opposing teams have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (137 per game) against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.
Cons
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see only 128.2 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Projection
THE BLITZ
45
Rushing Yards
45
Rushing Yards
