Week 9 Player Props: Passing Yards for Aidan O'Connell from EV Insight

Aidan O’ConnellPassing Yards

Right now, Aidan O’Connell’s passing yards prop is set at 209.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Raiders profiles as the best in the league this year.
The New York Giants defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.16 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the most in the league.
As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New York’s unit has been terrible this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 58.2% pass rate.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 60.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Raiders this year (a lowly 52.9 per game on average).
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Giants, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.2 per game) this year.
This year, the fierce New York Giants defense has yielded a feeble 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
229
Passing Yards