Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kyren WilliamsRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 6
Rams vs. Cardinals
Right now, Kyren Williams’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-114).
Pros
- A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite this week.
- The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a monstrous 64.4 per game on average).
- The leading projections forecast Kyren Williams to notch 17.6 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
- Kyren Williams has rushed for substantially more adjusted yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (15.0).
- Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (130 per game) vs. the Cardinals defense this year.
Cons
- The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 9th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 40.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
- The model projects the Rams to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
- The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Rushing Yards
75
Rushing Yards
