WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Romeo DoubsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Packers vs. Lions
Right now, Romeo Doubs’s receiving yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (+106/-145).
The public has bet the OVER up to 43.5 (+106) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.7% pass rate.
- The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.
- The leading projections forecast Romeo Doubs to garner 6.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking in the 77th percentile among WRs.
- The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.0 plays per game.
- Romeo Doubs’s ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 66.2% to 60.9%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards
52
Receiving Yards
