WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Courtland SuttonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Bears vs. Broncos
Right now, Courtland Sutton’s receiving yards prop is set at 56.5 yards (-127/-108).
The public has bet the OVER up to 56.5 (-127) after it opened @ 55.5 (-115).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast Courtland Sutton to earn 7.0 targets in this week’s contest, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among wideouts.
- Courtland Sutton has been a key part of his team’s offense, earning a Target Share of 24.3% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- Courtland Sutton has totaled a monstrous 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among wideouts.
- Courtland Sutton has been among the best wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 59.0 yards per game while grading out in the 82nd percentile.
- Courtland Sutton’s sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 59.4% to 77.3%.
Cons
- The Broncos are a 3-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
- The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards
59
Receiving Yards
