WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Calvin RidleyReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 4
Jaguars vs. Falcons
Right now, Calvin Ridley’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-137/+100).
The public has bet the OVER up to 68.5 (-137) after it opened @ 67.5 (-119).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.60 seconds per play.
- The predictive model expects Calvin Ridley to accrue 8.4 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- Calvin Ridley’s 60.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in football: 86th percentile for WRs.
- The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Cons
- The Jaguars are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
- Calvin Ridley has been among the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a measly 50.6% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 13th percentile among wide receivers
- As it relates to safeties getting after the quarterback, Atlanta’s safety corps has been terrific since the start of last season, projecting as the best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
63
Receiving Yards
63
Receiving Yards
