NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Pat FreiermuthReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 3
Raiders vs. Steelers
Right now, Pat Freiermuth’s receiving yards prop is set at 31.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 31.5 (-110) after it opened @ 34.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, likely creating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 35.0 pass attempts per game versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Pat Freiermuth’s sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.8% to 47.6%.
- Pat Freiermuth’s pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, compiling a mere 1.72 yards-per-target vs a 7.69 mark last season.
- The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has displayed good efficiency against TEs since the start of last season, yielding 6.97 yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-least in the NFL.
- The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.60 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards
39
Receiving Yards
