Week 17 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Daniel Bellinger from EV Insight

Daniel BellingerReceiving Yards

Right now, Daniel Bellinger’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 22.5 (-115) after it opened @ 24.5 (-120).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.67 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in football.
The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Cons

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has given up the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 39.0) vs. TEs this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
28
Receiving Yards