Week 17 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Zonovan Knight from EV Insight

Zonovan KnightRushing Yards

Right now, Zonovan Knight’s rushing yards prop is set at 59.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 59.5 (-110) after it opened @ 57.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-most yards in football (158 per game) vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive ends grade out as the 4th-worst DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have risked going for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 9th-least run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 36.1% run rate.
The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box against opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
65
Rushing Yards