WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Diontae JohnsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 16
Steelers vs. Raiders
Right now, Diontae Johnson’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 45.5 (-110) after it opened @ 44.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.9 plays per game.
- Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.7% of his offense’s passing plays this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
- THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to garner 8.2 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among WRs.
- Diontae Johnson has accumulated a monstrous 91.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among wide receivers.
- The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 7th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (166.0) versus WRs this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
- Diontae Johnson has compiled quite a few less receiving yards per game (57.0) this season than he did last season (73.0).
- Diontae Johnson has been among the least efficient receivers in football, averaging a lowly 6.64 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 5th percentile among WRs
- Diontae Johnson’s ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this year, totaling just 2.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.97 mark last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
50
Receiving Yards
50
Receiving Yards
