WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Brock WrightReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Jets vs. Lions
Right now, Brock Wright’s receiving yards prop is set at 10.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 10.5 (-120) after it opened @ 10.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Jets pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.64 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in the NFL.
- The New York Jets have stacked the box against opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.
Cons
- The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
- The New York Jets pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus TEs this year, giving up 7.05 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in football.
- The New York Jets defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.
- The Detroit Lions O-line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Detroit Lions have utilized play action on a mere 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
Projection
THE BLITZ
12
Receiving Yards
12
Receiving Yards
