Prime-Time First TD Bets — Sunday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Rhamondre StevensonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Raiders vs. Patriots
Right now, Rhamondre Stevenson’s rushing yards prop is set at 43.5 yards (-112/-117).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 43.5 (-117) after it opened @ 44.5 (-115).
Pros
- The New England Patriots have used some form of misdirection on 52.8% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-most in the NFL), which can make an offense more unpredictable and more effective.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 36.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New England Patriots have called the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- The Las Vegas Raiders defense has produced the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 4.38 yards-per-carry.
Projection
THE BLITZ
57
Rushing Yards
57
Rushing Yards
