Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Trey McBrideReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Broncos vs. Cardinals
Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 15.5 (-115) after it opened @ 17.5 (-120).
Pros
- The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB TEXT1 this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.60 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the NFL.
Cons
- Trey McBride has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a measly 4.12 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 10th percentile.
- Trey McBride has been among the bottom TEs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 6th percentile.
- The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
- The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards
19
Receiving Yards
