Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Trey McBride from EV Insight

Trey McBrideReceiving Yards

Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 15.5 (-115) after it opened @ 17.5 (-120).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB TEXT1 this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has struggled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.60 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in the NFL.

Cons

Trey McBride has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a measly 4.12 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 10th percentile.
Trey McBride has been among the bottom TEs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 6th percentile.
The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
19
Receiving Yards