Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Mitchell TrubiskyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Panthers vs. Steelers
Right now, Mitchell Trubisky’s passing yards prop is set at 196.5 yards (+114/-157).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 196.5 (-157) after it opened @ 207.5 (-110).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-most pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.3% pass rate.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
- Mitchell Trubisky has thrown for significantly more yards per game (177.0) this season than he did last season (7.0).
- Opposing teams have completed passes at the 8th-highest clip in the league vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year (73.0%).
- The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 6th-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Trubisky to attempt 27.0 passes this week, on average: the 4th-least of all quarterbacks.
- The Carolina Panthers defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.97 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in football.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has afforded their QB a measly 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
- The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the fastest in football since the start of last season.
Projection
THE BLITZ
170
Passing Yards
170
Passing Yards
