Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tyler ConklinReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Jets vs. Lions
Right now, Tyler Conklin’s receiving yards prop is set at 23.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 23.5 (-115) after it opened @ 25.5 (-114).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The New York Jets have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
- Tyler Conklin has run a route on 73.8% of his team’s dropbacks this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among TEs.
- Tyler Conklin has been among the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 33.0 yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.
Cons
- The New York Jets offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
- The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
- The New York Jets have used play action on a measly 23.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.
Projection
THE BLITZ
29
Receiving Yards
29
Receiving Yards
