Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Conklin from EV Insight

Tyler ConklinReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Conklin’s receiving yards prop is set at 23.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 23.5 (-115) after it opened @ 25.5 (-114).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Tyler Conklin has run a route on 73.8% of his team’s dropbacks this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among TEs.
Tyler Conklin has been among the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 33.0 yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Cons

The New York Jets offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have used play action on a measly 23.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
29
Receiving Yards