Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Cordarrelle PattersonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Saints vs. Falcons
Right now, Cordarrelle Patterson’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-112/-117).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-117) after it opened @ 52.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- Cordarrelle Patterson has garnered 42.5% of his team’s carries this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
- The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year at run-game blocking.
- Cordarrelle Patterson has rushed for a lot more yards per game (63.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).
- The New Orleans Saints defense owns the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 4.81 yards-per-carry.
Cons
- The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.7 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The New Orleans Saints defensive ends profile as the 7th-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
50
Rushing Yards
50
Rushing Yards
