Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Matt RyanPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Vikings vs. Colts
Right now, Matt Ryan’s passing yards prop is set at 255.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 255.5 (-110) after it opened @ 245.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Colts are a big 11.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 136.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
- Matt Ryan has passed for significantly more yards per game (262.0) this year than he did last year (234.0).
Cons
- The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
- The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
Projection
THE BLITZ
280
Passing Yards
280
Passing Yards
