Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for J.K. Dobbins from EV Insight

J.K. DobbinsRushing Yards

Right now, J.K. Dobbins’s rushing yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-115) after it opened @ 33.5 (-110).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 7th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 47.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles grade out as the worst collection of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Cons

The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense owns the 7th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 4.32 yards-per-carry.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Projection

THE BLITZ
39
Rushing Yards