Gross Bombs: NFL Props for Week 16
Josh Gross
David NjokuReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Bengals vs. Browns
Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-104/-131).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (-131) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to notch 5.1 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
- David Njoku has posted many more receiving yards per game (55.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).
- The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (76.8%) vs. tight ends this year (76.8%).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
Projection
THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards
42
Receiving Yards
