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Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

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David Njoku

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 14

Bengals vs. Browns

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-104/-131).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (-131) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).

Pros

  • The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to notch 5.1 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
  • David Njoku has posted many more receiving yards per game (55.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (76.8%) vs. tight ends this year (76.8%).
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection
THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Rhamondre Stevenson from EV Insight Next Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for J.K. Dobbins from EV Insight