Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for David Njoku from EV Insight

David NjokuReceiving Yards

Right now, David Njoku’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-104/-131).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (-131) after it opened @ 38.5 (-115).

Pros

The Browns are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects David Njoku to notch 5.1 targets in this week’s contest, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.
David Njoku has posted many more receiving yards per game (55.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (76.8%) vs. tight ends this year (76.8%).

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
42
Receiving Yards