Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Robert Woods from EV Insight

Robert WoodsReceiving Yards

Right now, Robert Woods’s receiving yards prop is set at 38.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Robert Woods has been an integral part of his team’s passing offense, earning a Target Share of 20.0% this year, which places him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded the 10th-most receiving yards per game in football (163.0) vs. WRs this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 4th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Cons

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.
Robert Woods has notched significantly fewer receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (67.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
52
Receiving Yards