Week 13 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Gerald Everett from EV Insight

Gerald EverettReceiving Yards

Right now, Gerald Everett’s receiving yards prop is set at 30.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 30.5 (-110) after it opened @ 32.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 68.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers offense as the 4th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.43 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Gerald Everett to earn 5.5 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 10th-most receiving yards per game in football (53.0) vs. tight ends this year.

Cons

Gerald Everett has been less involved as a potential target this season (60.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (71.0%).
Gerald Everett’s receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 82.2% to 67.0%.
Gerald Everett’s receiving effectiveness has declined this year, notching just 6.76 yards-per-target compared to a 7.95 figure last year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
38
Receiving Yards