Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Ryan TannehillPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 13
Eagles vs. Titans
Right now, Ryan Tannehill’s passing yards prop is set at 201.5 yards (-110/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 201.5 (-115) after it opened @ 205.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Titans to call the 7th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Ryan Tannehill has been among the most accurate QBs in the NFL this year with an impressive 66.8% Completion%, checking in at the 76th percentile.
- Ryan Tannehill has been among the most effective passers in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 8.10 yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.
- The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Ryan Tannehill to attempt 33.3 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 9th-least of all QBs.
- The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
- Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 9th-least yards in football (just 218.0 per game) against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
217
Passing Yards
217
Passing Yards
