Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Cardinals vs. Chargers
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 241.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 241.5 (-110) after it opened @ 247.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 64.1 plays per game.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to attempt 38.4 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
- The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Cons
- Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-least in football.
- Kyler Murray’s passing accuracy has declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 68.0% to 64.3%.
- Kyler Murray’s pass-game efficiency has diminished this year, notching a measly 6.06 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 figure last year.
- Opposing teams have passed for the 9th-least yards in the league (just 197.0 per game) vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.
- The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
291
Passing Yards
291
Passing Yards
