Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Jacoby BrissettPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 12
Browns vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Jacoby Brissett’s passing yards prop is set at 201.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 201.5 (-110) after it opened @ 215.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Browns are a heavy 7.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.1 plays per game.
- Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
- Jacoby Brissett has passed for many more yards per game (246.0) this season than he did last season (125.0).
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
- THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 33.0 passes in this week’s game, on average: the 10th-least of all quarterbacks.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year (66.5%).
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, conceding 6.66 yards-per-target: the 3rd-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
195
Passing Yards
195
Passing Yards
