Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Trey McBride from EV Insight

Trey McBrideReceiving Yards

Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (+104/-142).

The public has bet the OVER up to 22.5 (+104) after it opened @ 19.5 (-120).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Colt McCoy in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.8 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Trey McBride to notch 3.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among TEs.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Trey McBride has notched a measly 2.0 air yards per game this year: just 15th percentile among tight ends.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 34.0) vs. TEs this year.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (68.3%) vs. tight ends this year (68.3%).
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. TEs this year, yielding 5.54 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards