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Week 11 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Trey McBride from EV Insight

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Trey McBride

Trey McBrideReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 11

Cardinals vs. 49ers

Right now, Trey McBride’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (+104/-142).
The public has bet the OVER up to 22.5 (+104) after it opened @ 19.5 (-120).

Pros

  • The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling with backup QB Colt McCoy in this week’s contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week’s contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.8 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Trey McBride to notch 3.7 targets in this week’s contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among TEs.
Cons

  • THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Trey McBride has notched a measly 2.0 air yards per game this year: just 15th percentile among tight ends.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 34.0) vs. TEs this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (68.3%) vs. tight ends this year (68.3%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. TEs this year, yielding 5.54 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.

Projection
THE BLITZ
22
Receiving Yards

Previous NFL Same Game Parlay Picks – Week 11 Monday Night Football Next Monday Night Football Plays: Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers
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